Two phone calls stand between you and everything you're otherwise going to find out the hard way.
Hiring.
The Reference Search
Think about the last reference call you made, or the last one you quietly skipped: did you go in with a specific scorecard line you were trying to settle, or with a vague hope that somebody might volunteer a warning? One of those is a search. The other is a formality with a phone attached.
The evidence on references as a score is not flattering. The same 1984 meta-analysis that put work samples near the top of the table — John and Ronda Hunter's, in Psychological Bulletin — puts reference checks near the bottom for entry-level jobs: ahead of the unstructured interview, well behind ability tests and job tryouts, and nowhere near strong enough to decide anything on. That is the correct verdict on a reference used as a rating, and the wrong one on a reference used as a search. Bradford Smart, whose mis-hire arithmetic opened this elective, treats the call as an investigation rather than a courtesy, and moves two things: who arranges it, and what gets asked. The candidate arranges it, with their actual former managers — Smart calls this the threat of reference check, and half its value arrives before anyone picks up a phone, in what people quietly decline to claim once they know you'll be speaking to the person who watched them work. That is the realistic preview pointed backwards: the earlier a candidate knows the truth will surface, the less of it they try to hide. What to ask once you're through belongs to a different book by a different Smart: Geoff Smart and Randy Street's Who, from 2008, which scripts the reference call around a rating out of ten for how the person performed in that job, then asks straight away what it was about their performance that produced that number. Where this goes wrong is running the call to confirm a decision already made — every question closed, the tone grateful, and the referee reading correctly that nothing here is genuinely open.
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